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Core
Indicators Report
Executive Summary
Healthy
Community Initiative
Community Indicators
Project Health Strategies, Inc.
John R. Hagen, Ph.D.
August 1999
Quality
of Life
Focus:
Education Indicator:
Graduation rate
Rationale
As
skill demands increase in the workforce, people without a high school
diploma will have a more difficult time finding employment or advancing
beyond low wage jobs. Tracking this rate can help understand the
preparedness of our community's citizens to participate in all aspects
of community life.
Measures:
Percentage of students entering ninth grade in public schools four
years ago who graduated by the end of the current year
Data
Analysis
The
latest published graduation rates for St. Joseph County high schools
shows an average of about 85 percent. The graduation rate is the
probability that a student will complete four years of high school
without dropping out. Expressed mathematically, the graduation is
the product of each year's retention rate. With a final graduation
rate of 85 percent, this means an average annual dropout rate of
about 4 percent.
School
corporations varied in their graduation rates. In 1997, New Prairie
and Penn showed rates higher than 90 percent. Mishawaka and the
South Bend School Corporation scored in the mid-80 percent range,
while John Glenn and Union-North were in the low-80 percent range.
The Indiana average in 1997 was 88 percent.

Focus:
Public
Safety Indicator:
Overall crime rate
Rationale
Crime
rates provide important information about our personal and public
safety. Crime data are collected a variety of different ways, through
officially recorded data gathered by various local and federal agencies
(including police departments, the Bureau of Justice Statistics
[BJS], and the Federal Bureau of Investigation [FBI]), as well as
through self-reported criminal involvement, and victimization surveys
like the National Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS). Specifically,
the index crimes include murder, forcible rape, robbery, and aggravated
assaults (violent crimes) and burglary, larceny-theft, motor vehicle
theft, and arson (property crimes).
Although
people in the U.S. are very worried about the crime rate, in actuality
the rate has been declining over the last 7 years or longer, depending
on the type of crime examined.
Measures:
Number
of reported index crimes per 100,000 residents

Data
Analysis
The
trend in St. Joseph County for both reported violent and property
crimes is downward. There was a statistically significant decline
in the rates for both types of crimes between the years 1993 and
1997. The rate for reported violent crimes was 30-52 percent higher
in 1993 compared to 1997; for reported property crime, the rate
was 7 - 10 percent higher.
In
the city of South Bend, over recent seven-month reporting periods
for the years 1996-98, the total number of reported crimes declined
14 percent. Violent crimes dropped 30 percent while property crimes
declined 12 percent. The reported rate of index crimes in St. Joseph
County was significantly higher than the rest of Indiana over the
1993-97 period. The overall crime index, which includes violent
crimes (murder, forcible rape, robbery, and aggravated assaults)
and property crimes (burglary, larceny-theft, motor vehicle theft,
and arson), was 6,032 per 100,000 population over the five-year
period compared to the rest of the State at a rate of 4,461.
In
short, over that five-year period, St. Joseph County had a rate
that was 35 percent higher. That rate was higher due to a larger
rate of property crimes in the County. For the five-year period,
while the reported violent crime index was nearly the same for both
the County and the rest of the State, the reported property crime
index (excluding arson) was 39-41 percent higher, with a County
rate of 5,514 compared to the rate of 3,943 for the rest of Indiana.
The reported property crime rates of burglary and larceny were notably
higher in St. Joseph County during the period under study.

Focus:
Public
Safety Indicator:
Juvenile crime rate
Rationale
Americans
today are very concerned regarding juvenile violent crime. The problem
seems to be pervasive and on the rise, and public policies are being
developed to treat juveniles like adults in the criminal justice
system, and to mete out harsher sentences and penalties. Juveniles
(those under age 18) were responsible for 17.2 percent of all violent
crimes and 25 percent of all property crimes cleared in the U.S.
in 1997. The majority of juvenile violent crimes in the U.S. are
for aggravated assault and robbery. Homicide is the first, second
or third leading cause of death for black and white males and females
between the ages of 15 and 24. High risk and delinquent behaviors
among youth has invaded the school setting.
During
the 1995-96 school year, in the U.S. 4-5 percent of students reported
ever carrying a gun to school, approximately 20 percent had carried
a knife or other weapon, and approximately one third had physically
harmed another student.
Reported
victimization rates were similar or higher: a little more than 10
percent had been threatened with a gun, knife or club while at school;
30-40 percent had been physically threatened, and anywhere from
15-30 percent were afraid.
Measures:
- Number of
juveniles taken into custody by police because they were suspected
of committing a violent crime (per 100,000 juveniles aged 10-19)
- Percentage
of juvenile arrests that involved violent crimes
- Percentage
of total arrests that were juveniles

Data
Analysis
In
1996 in St. Joseph County, the juvenile arrest rate (per 100,000
population ages 10-19) was 1,721. This compared favorably with the
rest of the State of Indiana at 1,802. Over the four-year period,
the overall juvenile arrest rate for index crimes has declined 20
percent per annum, in large part due to a reduction in arrests for
property crimes. Juvenile arrests as a percent of total arrests
have declined as well.
In
1993, juvenile arrests accounted for over half (53.4%) of all arrests;
by 1996, that share had declined to 39 percent. Still, the County's
rate remained higher than the rest of the State. In 1996 in the
rest of the State of Indiana, juvenile arrests comprised 32.7 percent
of all arrests. Juvenile arrests for violent crimes as a percent
of all juvenile arrests have declined in the County from over 18
percent in 1993 to about 10 percent in 1996. Accordingly, the proportion
of arrests for property crimes has increased.
Focus:
Environment
Indicator:
Air quality
Rationale
Air
pollution is hazardous to the health of any community. Individuals
already disabled by lung and heart disease are especially likely
to be hospitalized when air quality is poor. Young children playing
outdoors are also susceptible to the effects of air pollution and
The Centers for Disease Control (CDC) reports in Healthy People
2000 that environmental factors, such as ozone depletion and other
air pollutants, may have contributed to rising morbidity and mortality.
Measures:
Number
of days exceeding EPA air quality standards for CO emissions, airborne
particulates, and ozone emissions.

Data
Analysis
CO
Emissions.
For
the 1994-96 period, CO emissions monitored at the South Bend Water
Works averaged less than half of the EPA standard value (9 ppm),
with a high of 5.9 and a low of 3.4 averaged over an 8-hour period.
Particulate Emission (PM-10). Small particulate emissions monitored
over a six-year period (1993-98) at three sites through St. Joseph
County were all within the acceptable standard of 50 g/m3 on an
annual average basis.
Ozone.
Ozone
levels are monitored at four sites throughout St. Joseph County.
Over the six-year period 1993-98, the standard for a 1-hour average
of 0.12 ppm was exceeded five times - twice in 1997 and three times
in 1998. The new (lower) EPA standard of .085 ppm (or 85 part per
billion (ppb)) likely will mean that St. Joseph will be a non-attainment
county. The new standard of between 85 and 104 ppb, based on 8-hour
periods, means the air is considered "unhealthy for sensitive groups."

Overview
Community
Capacity Economic
Vitality Health
Quality of Life
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